Startup acquisitions, offers, and exits, and why the next few years will be interesting...

Internet startup acquisition prices keep trending upward. A few years ago, Myspace sold to News Corp for $580 million. Then YouTube sold to Google for $1.6 billion. At that point, that $1.6 billion price tag was unheard of. That came shortly after Facebook rejected an offer from Yahoo! for $1 billion.

More recently, Groupon supposedly rejected a rumored $6 billion acquisition from Google. Then Foursquare rejected an offer for $140 million. Heroku just got acquired by Salesforce.com for $212 million in cash. It's pretty incredible that these websites have managed to create such a large perceived value in such a short amount of time.

The companies that have chosen to stay on their own - mainly the more "fringe" web apps like Groupon and Foursquare - make me wonder if it will be worth it for them in the long run. It makes sense for a company like Facebook, who has managed to put themselves in the center of the internet, but for companies like Groupon or Foursquare, I'm not so sure. Sometimes I wonder if they rejected these large offers because of an inflated sense of self-worth, or because they think they'll be able to make themselves worth 10x that in a few years.

Time will tell.

I'm sure the hot shots like Groupon and Foursquare have great plans for their companies, but it will be interesting to watch them, and to see if their multi-million dollar - or in Groupon's case, multi-billion dollar - gambles pay off.

As much as startups are the culmination of dreams that these founders have, if I was offered a large sum of money for something I built, I can't say I wouldn't cash out, go buy a mansion and a yacht, and enjoying life for a little while.

So I guess kudos to these companies who believe in themselves, think they'll be able to accomplish greater things in the next few years, and to those who don't see money as the end goal in life.

Comments

Yeah its hard to put a price-tag on entirely online-based E-Businesses with little to no "brick & mortar" products or services.

I've been looking into the massive number of Groupon copycats popping up for example, and even working to assess the feasibility of creating a clone for a client. Based on open source tools, white-label solutions and scripts for sale, I see that there's not too much about the technology itself which is unique or hard to duplicate, for example: http://bcmoney-mobiletv.com/shop/coupon

Clearly, what services like Foursquare, Groupon (even Facebook & YouTube) have going for them that is difficult to duplicate is the community, and ability to scale (which takes alot more than just good design, but that helps). These are the things that even the biggest corporations with the best technologists money can buy would struggle with. To me, the equation seems like a little bit of luck, a little bit of skill, and ALOT of good timing.

The creators of these services clearly perceived a need that wasn't being met by current services, created their own versions of how things ought to be, added a dash of social media integration and a sleek, visually appealing and modern design, and just like that they put themselves in the position to grow. What's special is that the growth didn't cripple them, they found a way to efficiently add a large number of users overnight and increase quality of service as a result, rather than deteriorate it.

Anytime you see the "network effects" in full effect, soon after you're going to see wildly high valuations from companies who lack the freedom, creativity and insight to create that new service themselves.

Yea Groupon copycatters are everywhere. Don't see this company value staying around 6 billion unless they move internationally really fast and they have luck of not receiving a lot of copycatters in those countries.
I think Groupon rejected it mainly because they didn't want to see Google shut the business down or co-opt it into a "Google" thing. That must have been a hard decision to decline that offer though.

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